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Matt Serra: “I believe this is not gonna be a five round fight…”

Let the hype begin for Georges St. Pierre vs. Matt Serra II, ladies and gentlemen. The Bell Centre has almost sold out for UFC 83 and tickets have not even gone on sale to the public yet. Not only are Canadian fans in a frenzy over the UFC, they’re in a frenzy over this fight in particular because it features their hometown boy. You think UFC 77 was “Hostile Territory”? Not even close to what kind of atmosphere the Bell Centre is going to be on April 19th. And to boot, Matt Serra is starting the talk already.

“But I’m a different fighter, I’m gonna pose some different problems, and I’m gonna be game. I don’t want to discredit any other guys – not that I care about discrediting Matt Hughes (laughs) – but there are certain things you have to risk, and a certain mindset you have to have when fighting a guy like Georges. There are guys who want to win either by playing it safe or by just trying to win a decision this way or that way, and that’s not the way to go. I believe this is not gonna be a five round fight – I believe it’s him or me, that’s the way I look at things, and I feel great about it.”

Serra may feel great about it, but I don’t. At least not about his chances of winning. St. Pierre has shown in his last two fights that he can take the best wrestlers in mixed martial arts down to the mat with relative ease and more importantly, keep them there. Serra is not a wrestler like Hughes or Koscheck and should be relatively easier to take down than either of those guys. St. Pierre has the more technical striking of the two fighters but Serra’s heavy hands make it dangerous for any fighter to stand in the pocket and let him wing wild bombs at your face.

St. Pierre needs to take this fight to the ground if he wants to ensure a victory and a unification of the titles. Serra has great jiu jitsu but it’s unlikely that he’ll submit St. Pierre off of his back because St. Pierre’s submission defense and his top control are so good. St. Pierre’s ground and pound is also underrated. He can throw devastating elbows from within an opponent’s guard. That’s the route to victory against Serra. Just look at what Karo Parisyan was able to do on top of Serra and he’s nowhere near the wrestler that St. Pierre is. It’s tough to find an advantage for Serra in this fight even though he beat St. Pierre handily last time around but if he’s going to win this fight he’s going to need to land the wild bomb in the opening moments of the fight or control St. Pierre from the top, which is a huge task unto itself.

Serra’s right, it probably won’t go five rounds. And it probably won’t go in his favor.

I also love how Serra can’t help but take a jab at Matt Hughes whenever he gets a chance. He and Hughes deserve each other, they really do.

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