Heath is no spring chicken, but Brock knows that. The result will be one insane fight, so can’t wait for it.

As far as Brock’s conditioning being questioned, he is in as good as shape as anyone else. (if not better)

However I think in the Lesnar fight you’ll see him more or less at his best. Lesnar does bring a very high energy to a fight and the event itself. Herring won’t be able to coast at all and Brock’s pressure will put him into an automatic pilot zone where his years of experience come to the fore, IMO.

Lesnar is a force to be reckoned with but I think he might have trouble finishing fights against top guys. We’ll have to see if striking becomes one of his tools. This fight should be a great litmus test for that. Herring has looked sloppy in the past with his stand up, but Brock is not someone who should expose that, in fact quite the opposite, he could provide a bigger, easier to hit target.

But I’ve reconsidered thinking Herring was a lock. Still pick him to win, but now I’m thinking Brock has about a 20% chance of just overwhelming him with his wrestling aggression.

but SINCE he became a member of the UFC, his performances have been.. ummm.. not up to par, if you will..

his first fight [in the UFC] = a slow fight in which he didn’t even try to defend takedowns, and he: “didn’t know this was gonna turn into a wrestling match”

second fight: a slow decision win over an opponent [Imes] he greatly outmatched..

third fight: losing, losing, losing, head kick, ohhhhhhh!! , losing, losing, losing, lost..

fourth fight: his fight with Kongo was actually his best in the UFC yet.. but, i wasn’t impressed.. first of all, Kongo seemed off to me.. i mean, in the one place where he should dominate [the feet], he wasn’t working his leg/mid/high kicks, and he wasn’t even defending the takedowns.. and on the ground, Herring wouldn’t punch him in the face.. knees to the body aren’t a bad idea, but you have to punch him in the face every now and then..

THEREFORE,
i think Lesnar’s going to be 2-1 after this fight..
my only worry is Lesnar’s gas tank, and i’m sure he can hold his own in cardio, after a career in which you “entertain/perform” 2 nights a week for 15 min. at a time..

Lesnar will be the attacker on the feet.. he won’t stop moving when it hits the ground [i mean, did you see that spin-around in the Mir fight?? it was beastly!!] and i just think that Herring will break/lose motivation after being outworked in those positions..

Given how Herring has fared against some top guys, I’m expecting him to get past Lesnar, who I think still has a ton to learn.

Will have to watch the O’Brien fight again to see how susceptible Herring is to just a straight wrestling attack. To Lesnar’s credit I think he is a very aggressive fighter who will try to finish Herring. That could leave him open to a sub or what I see as being more likely: catching a some strikes.

I’m really curious what kind of chin Lesnar has and what kind of defense he’s got on his feet. The Crazy Horse is going to be launching kicks at him that’s for sure.

It was for O’Brien.

You hit the nail on the head. Does any else remember how Herring handled O’Brien’s wrestling skills. (If I am wromg please let me know.) I might be going out on a limb here but I believe Brock’s wrestling is just a tad better than O’Brien’s.

Brock was doing well and I don’t think they should have stood them up, but I think Mir was going to gather himself and get the sub regardless. He was getting hammered on but it wasn’t busting him up. Brock looks like he’s great at getting guys down, but then he goes a little too caveman to really be able to finish an elite guy who knows how to handle himself in that situation.

He needs a lot more experience and should have started by fighting Brad Imes and then gradually moving up thru the ranks. If he kept winning, a Heath or a Mir should have been his forth or fifth fight.

He’s going to be a guy who looks impressive in his losses and therefore gets to hang around and work on his game. Coleman would have made more sense than Herring for him right now. But you have to respect that he wants to fight good guys.

Lesnar certainly made a mistake by standing out of Mir’s guard because Mir knew what he was doing and set it up well. However, Lesnar also dominated every facet of that fight to that point. That alone makes it a miracle submission if you ask me.

For Herring though, a sub like that would be a miracle. He’s not half the BJJ fighter Mir is.

I think Lesnar has a really good chance to win this, as the “Texas Crazyhorse” seems to be only really really frustrated by an all consuming ground game. I truly think that Lesnar has the ability to have the best GNP out there, but I agree the lingering question is his ability to absorb BJJ skills.

As we have seen, great wrestlers with amazing GNP are not “total” fighters, so they tend to lose via submission. If Lesnar loses, I think it will be via another submission. If he can press his own game scenario, and overpower his opponent in power and endurance…he will win.