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Trading Punches: UFC 107 Preview & Predictions; The Main Card

107Come along with the FiveOuncesofPain crew as managing editor Cory Brady verbally dukes it out with the always opinionated David Andrest over this Saturday evening’s UFC 107 card.

UFC 107 is set for Saturday evening, December 12, 2009 at The FedEx Forum in Memphis Tennesse, airing live on Pay Per View.

Headlining the card will be a lightweight championship clash between B.J. Penn and Diego Sanchez, along with other promising match-ups featuring the likes of Kenny Florian, Clay Guida, Frank Mir, Cheick Kongo and more.

* For some strange and extremely unfortunate reason, all of the text I had prepared for this post (At least 2-3 paragraphs per fight) completely dissapeared once I tried to post it. I can’t put my frustration into words over this incident that still remains a mystery to me. So, instead of not running the story I will publish it with an extremely shortened version of my lost predictions. - CB

Champion  B.J. Penn vs. Diego Sanchez

David Andrest: The UFC PR team has done a wonderful job promoting Diego for this fight.  I watch the preview commercial and it’s almost as if Sanchez if the favorite in this fight.  Could Sanchez win this fight?  Sure,  he’s got the same chance, Sherk, Florian and Stevenson had.  B.J. Penn appears calm focused and at relaxed.  To watch a B.J. Penn interview these days almost feels like the champion has a secret that he’s not telling anyone.  For those expecting ( hoping)  for Penn to gas, it’s time to live in the now.  Penn is ready for 5 rounds, and more importantly has prepared and been there before.  Until I see B.J. Penn have a problem at 155, I’m not picking against him.

Winner: B.J. Penn via rear naked-choke

Cory Brady: In my opinion Diego deserves this title shot just a little bit more than Vitor Belfort does at middleweight. It’s not the sexy choice but I feel like either Gray Maynard or Frankie Edgar should be stepping up tmorrow based on their six wins at the weight class compared to Diego’s high profile two. Either way, B.J. has all of the advantages in this fight oiutside of possibly takedowns, but it’s B.J. that holds the huge edge in takedown defense.

Winner: B.J. Penn via submission

Cheick Kongo vs. Frank Mir

David Andrest: Wow that Frank Mir sure can talk. He has talked briefly about his fight with Kongo, prior to talking , and talking , and talking about Brock Lesnar.  While, I think Kongo has more to offer this fight than Mir is willing to admit.  I think this fight will go to the ground at some point.

Winner: Frank Mir via submission

Cory Brady: Kongo just so happen to hold the antidote to Mir’s poison, and it’s not technical striking, it’s good old fashioned GNP. Every single one of Mir’s losses have ended o the canvas. e crumbles when you start bringing the pai from the top, and Kongo has finished his last two victories that exact way. Regardless, Mir looks huge and focused for this one. His size should help him in preventing any takedown attempts.

Winner: Frank Mir via submission

Jon Fitch vs. Mike Pierce

David Andrest:  I’m trying really hard to care or get excited for this fight.  I simply can not.  Fitch is a top 3 welterweight, and the list of people I’m interested in seeing him fight is a short one and does not include Mike Pierce.  Fitch will control this fight and handle Pierce, perhaps finishing the fight in impressive fashion.

Winner:  John Fitch via TKO

Cory Brady: I’m not interested in watching this fight. I think Fitch is an awesome fighter, but I hate watching him fight.. if that makes any sense. Fitch takes this one with ease. I really hope he can notch a finish for his limited highlight reel.

Winner: Jon Fitch via decision

Kenny Florian vs. Clay Guida

David Andrest: This fight on the other hand I am very much looking forward to.   How will training at Jackson’s  change Guida?  Florian has a new camp as well,  will training with GSP’s crew in Canada change his game?  Florian is the class of the division, and in my mind the easy number 2 lightweight in the UFC.   Guida is tall on moral victories, it’s time now for Guida if he is holding out hope of ever becoming more than the high water mark for the division.

Winner: Kenny Florian  via Decision

Cory Brady: Guida may be a slightly better wrestler, but Florian is the better all-around fighter, and it’s a fight. I feel like Clay’s relentless agression will play right into Kenny’s hands.

Winner: Kenny Florian via submission

Paul Buentello vs. Stefan Struve

David Andrest: Welcome back to the UFC  Paul Buentello.  One would have to think this is his last stop at the top before taking fights and headlining indy shows.   I spoke with  Brady earlier today about Struve, he brought up and interesting  point about the number of submission wins and the probable cause.   Buentello comes in with one path to victory.  They don’t call him the HeadHunter for nothing.

Winner: Stefan Struve via decision

Cory Brady: Struve has been actively and cnsistently testing himself against som top shelf guys at heavyweight, while Buentello has not. Only Paul knows where his timing, stamina, and most importantly, where his head is at after a spurt of seruious inactivity and recently beng given the boot from his longtime training grounds, The American Kickboxing Academy.

Winner: Stefan Struve via submission

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