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Breaking It Down: UFC on FOX 3

Much like yesterday’s look at Bellator 67, a very much-abbreviated version of my breakdown accompanies the UFC on FOX 3 fights thanks to some technical difficulties on my end. I’m just going to throw down my picks and how I think they win. If you have any analysis, opinions, or anything to say, feel free to let loose in the Comments section.

Let’s just get right to it, shall we?

Mike Massenzio defeats Karlos Vemola via Unanimous Decision
Nick Denis defeats Roland Delorme via TKO Round 1
Dennis Bermudez defeats Pablo Garza via Unanimous Decision
Danny Castillo defeats John Cholish via Unanimous Decision
John Lineker defeats Louis Gaudinot via Knockout Round 1
Pascal Krauss defeats John Hathaway via TKO Round 2
John Dodson defeats Tim Elliott via Knockout Round 1
Tony Ferguson defeats Michael Johnson via Unanimous Decision

Lavar Johnson (16-5) vs. Pat Barry (7-4)

Johnson hasn’t been stopped since his professional debut but I think that streak will end tonight. It’s going to be a stand-up war and in such affairs I tend to go with the better striker who is undoubtedly “HD”. Truly, this will come down to which man lands the first punch since both are powerful dudes.

Winner – Pat Barry defeats Lavar Johnson via Knockout Round 1

Rousimar Palhares (14-3) vs. Alan Belcher (17-6)

Palhares is as one-dimensional as they come but damn is he good at his singular strategy! However, Belcher is a beast and has faced good BJJ guys before. As long as he can avoid Palhares’ leg-attack he should be able to pick him apart with strikes. Hell, even Dan Miller rocked Palhares, so Belcher should have no problem sealing the deal.

Winner – Alan Belcher defeats Rousimar Palhares via TKO Round 2

Josh Koscheck (17-5) vs. Johny Hendricks (12-1)

This fight is almost too close to call since both are similar in nature. Each has knockout power and a solid wrestling base. In fact I could even see a stalemate of sorts with the crowd raining down boos. Koscheck looked “suspect” (his word) against Mike Pierce in his last fight but I don’t think he’ll take any more risks tonight given Hendricks’ power.

Winner – Johny Hendricks defeats Josh Koscheck via Unanimous Decision

Nate Diaz (15-7) vs. Jim Miller (21-3)

Diaz has struggled against other guys built in the mold of Miller – a top notch grappler with a good chin and respectable boxing. I also think Miller has better cardio than Diaz when it comes to a fight. Diaz might have him in a triathlon but, as you all know, this is MMA. As such, I think Miller will capitalize on the holes in Diaz’s game and come away with a hard-fought decision win.

Winner – Jim Miller defeats Nate Diaz via Unanimous Decision

I’ll be back next week with some actual depth instead of just my picks. The fights go down tonight with the preliminary card airing on Facebook at 4:00 PM EST, Fuel TV at 5:00 PM EST, and the main card on FOX at 8:00 PM EST.

Enjoy the fights!

2 COMMENTS
  • Richard Stabone says:

    I like the picks & the reasoning behind them… I agree with all of the main card, but I’ve got Hathaway beating Krauss. That one shoud be good.

    Agree or Disagree: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

  • MMA-LOGIC says:

    I think you have all the main card wrong appart from Belcher.

    Agree or Disagree: Thumb up 1 Thumb down 0

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